Solana In Turbulence: Analyzing The Death CrossAugust 23, 2023
Solana (SOL) has found itself under the shadow of a foreboding technical pattern known as the “Death Cross.” This ominous occurrence, defined by the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average, has historically heralded significant price downturns.
Investors are now eyeing the charts as SOL grapples with this pattern once again, raising questions about its future trajectory.
For the uninitiated in the intricacies of technical analysis, the Death Cross is akin to a storm warning on the horizon. It emerges when a short-term moving average dives beneath a long-term moving average, signaling potential tumult ahead.
The last instance when Solana encountered the Death Cross was back in 2022, and the aftermath was far from favorable – a considerable downtrend that sent ripples through the crypto market.
Fast forward to the present, and Solana finds itself at a crossroads once more. As of now, SOL is valued at $20.84 according to CoinGecko, reflecting a 1.4% gain over the last 24 hours.
However, a more concerning figure emerges when considering the seven-day performance, which showcases an 11.1% slump. These numbers underscore the significance of the pending death cross and the apprehensions it invokes.
SOL market cap at $8.4 billion on the daily chart: TradingView.com
Bearish Solana Trends And Lingering Uncertainties
Analyzing the market structure on the 1-day chart reveals a bearish picture for SOL. The cryptocurrency recently established a lower high at $25.68 coupled with a lower low at $22.23 on August 5.
Subsequent weeks witnessed the gradual formation of a downtrend, amplifying concerns among traders and investors. Further technical indicators add weight to the concerns.
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) has been painting a discouraging narrative as well, with declining demand for SOL evident through the formation of lower highs since mid-July.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) depicts a recent bearish momentum, hinting at potential further declines. Additionally, the moving averages stand on the cusp of signaling a dip, adding to the prevailing unease.
Meanwhile, bearish mood prevailed in the market, based on Open Interest. Even though SOL was at long-term support, the drop in OI over the last 10 days was significant, and it has not reversed the downturn.
Potential Impact On Investor Sentiment And TVL
Despite Solana’s current Total Value Locked standing at a noteworthy $243.85 million, the looming death cross looms as a destabilizing factor. Past experiences have shown that such ominous patterns can erode investor sentiment, potentially leading them to seek safer investment options.
Consequently, the TVL could face downward pressure as investors contemplate safeguarding their capital amidst uncertain times.
As the crypto community holds its breath, the coming weeks will undoubtedly be critical for Solana. Traders and investors will closely watch for signals of whether history will repeat itself, or if SOL will manage to defy the ominous prophecy of the death cross and forge a different path.
(This site’s content should not be construed as investment advice. Investing involves risk. When you invest, your capital is subject to risk).
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