Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and betting tipsSeptember 10, 2019
The Washington Nationals (79-63) and Minnesota Twins (88-55) meet Tuesday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The contest marks the start of a three-game interleague set.
Washington heads into the series on a down note – the Nationals are 2-5 over their last seven. Minnesota has scuffled in interleague play with a 7-10 record and outscored by 13 runs.
Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Anibal Sanchez vs. RHP Jose Berrios
Sanchez owns a 4.11 ERA on the season but a 5.93 mark over the last month. The veteran right-hander is coming off a shaky start, and he owns an ugly set of numbers against current Minnesota batters. He has registered a 5.11 xFIP over 26 starts this year.
Berrios owns a 3.78 ERA on the year and a 6.75 mark over the last month. A few recent missteps have been on the road, and the 25-year-old does have an outstanding history at Target Field (3.69 FIP this season).
Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins: By the Numbers
- Current Twins bats own a robust 1.000 OPS, .331 ISO against Sanchez.
- Sanchez is a fly-ball pitcher; Minnesota hits FB types better than any other MLB team (.880 OPS) and leads the league in home runs. (Weather forecast: warm night, light breeze out to right field.)
- The Washington offense has clicked at home (.841, 4th MLB), but the Nationals own a league-average .754 OPS on the road.
- The Twins lost Sunday; they own a 38-17 (.691) record in bounce-back games.
- Berrios has been BABIP-beaten-up (.443) over recent starts. The figure includes a slew of runners in scoring position situations.
- Minnesota DH Nelson Cruz (1.011 OPS, 3.6 WAR) is questionable (wrist) for Tuesday’s game.
- The Twins hold a big advantage in the bullpen exchange (4.30 xFIP to 5.04 xFIP). Minnesota owns a 4.00 xFIP over the last 30 days.
- Both teams were off Monday. Minnesota owns a 12-7 record following an off day; Washington has an 8-11 mark in such meetings.
Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins: Picks and Betting Tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; for a full-set of today’s sports betting odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.
Moneyline: Minnesota is the play at -149.
Run line: Both sides are top-10 in one and a half runs profitability. Steer clear of the Twins (-1.5 +120).
Over/under: The OVER (10.5, -106) fits in some expected value. This one may be worth a wait on lineups in hopes of a drop back to 10.
Get some action in this one by placing a bet at BetMGM.
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