The bear market and recession are over and the S&P 500 is ‘fully priced’ with little room to run upward, investing legend Byron Wien says

The bear market and recession are over and the S&P 500 is ‘fully priced’ with little room to run upward, investing legend Byron Wien says

August 12, 2020

Reuters / Sebastien Nogier

  • Byron Wien told Bloomberg that the bear market and recession are over, and while the S&P 500 may climb slightly higher, it will not be making any “major strides upward” this year. 
  • The vice chairman of Blackstone Private Wealth Solutions said the S&P 500 is “fully priced.” 
  • He also applauded US technology companies for their creativity, but said the US should be a manufacturer as well as an innovator to compete globally. 
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Byron Wien told Bloomberg on Wednesday that the bear market and recession are over and while the market may climb a little bit higher by the end of the year, it won’t “make major strides upward from this point.” 

“I can see the S&P 500 being a little bit higher than it is today, but basically I think it’s fully priced at this point,” said the vice-chairman of Blackstone Private Wealth Solutions. In January Bloomberg reported that Wien said the S&P 500 would climb above 3,500 at some point in 2020. 

 The S&P 500 has rallied more than 50% from its March 23 low. The index is nearing a new record high on Wednesday, trading as high as 3,382.83 points. 

Wien said that the S&P 500 rally has been driven by large-cap growth stocks, the FAANG stocks, certain healthcare stocks, and Microsoft. The top 10 companies in the S&P 500 now comprise 29% of the index, according to The Wall Street Journal: Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft are among those. 

Read more: Former hedge-fund titan Michael Novogratz breaks down 4 reasons why bitcoin is heading to $20,000 by year-end

He added that the creativity in the US technology industry is “still ahead of where it is everywhere else in the world.” But, China is putting more money into research and development than the US, and he would like to see the US be a “manufacturer as well as an innovator.”   

Wien also told investors to “be patient” with sectors that haven’t yet rallied as technology has.

“I think there are a number of attractive parts of the market but they’re not in the stocks that benefited from the recovery so far. I think you have to be patient with broader industrials and even some travel and hospitality-related stocks,” said Wien. 

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