Bitcoin futures volatility sets record low

Bitcoin futures volatility sets record low

November 5, 2018

Bitcoin was trading marginally lower Monday, but remains in its recent narrow trading range.

In Monday trading, a single bitcoinBTCUSD, -0.52% was fetching $6,393.63, down 0.6% since 5 p.m. Eastern Time on Sunday on the Kraken crypto exchange. The No. 1 digital currency has spent the last five trading sessions inside the $6,300 to $6,400 range.

As bitcoin trading ranges narrow, records continue to tumble. “As it turns out, [bitcoin] XBT futures and cryptos in general are moving with very little speed. The week ending Oct. 26th was the least volatile since futures were introduced nearly a year ago,” wrote Kevin Davitt, senior instructor for The Options Institute at Cboe Global Markets.

“Furthermore, the average weekly [volatility] for XBT futures in October was around 6.6%, which is way below the average of 15.65% since inception.”

Davitt said the continuing divergence between traditional assets and bitcoin is the bigger story for industry onlookers. “The waning cryptocurrency volatility is arguably even more interesting against the backdrop of escalating global equity volatility,” he added.

Furthermore, bitcoin has begun to diverge from a popular emerging market index which it had been tracking for close to six months.

Elsewhere, altcoins, or coins other than bitcoin, were mostly lower Monday. EtherETHUSD, -1.95%was down 1.9% at $206.51, Bitcoin CashBCHUSD, -0.50%was trading down 0.7% at $550.80, LitecoinLTCUSD, -1.76%had lost 1.6% at $53.13 and XRP,XRPUSD, +3.77% was bucking the trend, trading 3.1% higher at 48 cents.

Bitcoin futures were outperforming spot price Monday. The Cboe Global Markets November contractXBTX8, +0.51% was up 0.5% at $6,380, while the CME Group November contractBTCX8, +1.27% had gained 0.5% to $6,375.

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